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Download Pokerstove PokerStove Publisher's Description VideoUsing PokerStove to Calculate Your Hand's Chance to Win (YouPoker Academy Elective)
PokerStove will generate random scenarios for any and all cards that you don't explicitly put in. As with the Hand Distribution input fields, the Board background will turn maroon if there is an error.
You may also click on the "Select" button next to the Board input field to click on the specific cards.
This way, you don't have to worry about typos getting in your way. In theory, you can use this if someone who folded tells you their hand or if someone accidently flashes their cards.
In practice - and especially online - this is not a very useful feature. What PokerStove does is run simulations. It doesn't calculate, it simulates.
So when you run the software, it will pit the hands and ranges you entered, on the board that you put in if any , randomize all the unknown variables many times, and tell you how often on average the different players win.
There are two ways it can do this:. For some scenarios this is very fast since there are few possible combinations. Most cases when only two players are involved doesn't take Poker Stove many fractions of a second to calculate.
When you have three or more players involved in a pot, the number of possible cases grows exponentially, and it may take a long time for the program to run every single combination of possibilities.
That's when using "Monte Carlo" comes in handy - it randomizes the simulations. This means that instead of following a pattern and grinding its way through every possible holding, it will randomly run simulation after simulation.
As computers are so fast these days, we're going to get a huge number of samples millions in around 1 second.
It's true that we've substituted precision for speed, but if you let Monte Carlo run for a while it will quickly stabilize towards the true value.
How big is your chance of winning if the board is paired, versus if it's not paired? I seem to remember hearing that we must be careful with flushes on paired boards.
So let's put in the following values:. A9s is What happens if one of the kings was a queen instead? Change the board to "KhQd4h" and run "enumerate all" again.
See what happened? One more example: How about JJ vs. What happens if you add AK to his range? What happens if you remove some of the bottom pocket pairs?
Play around, and evaluate! By now you may have noticed that you can click on "Player 1," "Player 2" etc. But if you haven't, go ahead now and click on "Player 1" to the left.
In this new window, you have two different tabs. The first one, "Cards," lets you select two specific cards for the player.
If you dislike keyboards or feel more comfortable picking them from a list, this is where you do it. You can only pick two cards in this first tab.
If you want to select a specific range, you can switch to the "Pre-flop" tab in Poker Stove. This tab, unlike the last one, is extremely useful for everyone.
It lets you do two things: It lets you easily input specific ranges, and it lets you play with the slider and see more specifically which hands get included as you increase someone's range.
So you have someone at your table who plays half of his hands. Now you can select specific starting hands to add to your opponent's range.
The cards included in your selected range are marked yellow, plus the specific hand that you've currently selected is purple. To de-select a yellow hand, click it again.
If you want to undo your current selection, press "shift" and click it again. This will make it yellow. Now release shift and click on the hand one more time to remove it from your selected range.
Hold down the Alt-key and press any hand. This means any 8 with an offsuit kicker better than 4 but lower than 8 , i. If I raise, he calls and he checkraises an A flop - which he would with any pair - how good are my pocket kings likely to be?
This is done by putting in your opponent's standard range, and from there select your own cards in a way that makes your hand just one step weaker than the hand you're interested in.
Sound complicated? Let's look at an example. Input your opponent's range, and that board into Stove. Then invent a turn and a river that would give him a flush, but give yourself the second best hand.
For example:. Here, I've given myself QJ, which would make the nut straight, and then filled the board in a way that the only way my opponent can beat me is if he has a flush.
Be careful that you don't accidently make some other hand the nut, other than the one you want to check if he's drawing to.
In the example I used above, be careful not to pair the board! When you're using this technique, be careful not to "waste" too many of your opponent's outs in the process of filling out the board; it will skew the results.
With flushdraws and such, it doesn't affect the outcome very much, but it will definitely have an impact on draws with few outs.
If you want to know how often your opponent holds specifically AA, it's prudent to use a board that doesn't otherwise interfere with his holdings.
For instance, removing all hands that contain deuces, and also specifically from his range which shouldn't change the percentages much allows you to compose a board of and then give yourself KK, and then run the simulation.
If you have KK on a board if he has no deuce and not , it's only specifically AA that can beat you. How often does my opponent have two-pair or better on a Kh-9d-5d flop?
This is trickier than it might look, since you need to dodge the possibility of him "improving" when you add your dummy turn and river cards.
This is somewhat similar to the trick of checking for AA, in that you remove cards from your opponent's range to make the simulation work.
On a K flop, you could again remove all hands containing deuces and treys which should rarely be a big part of an opponent's range anyway , then make the turn and river be a deuce and a trey.
Then, give yourself TPTK, and run the simulation. In closing, this "trick" with PokerStove is very powerful in that you can start building an idea of how likely a flushdraw given a certain starting range is.
One of the things you may notice if you start playing around is that given a tight starting range, a flushdraw is only about half as likely on a broadway flop as it is on a rag flop!
The reason for this is that if your opponent is tight, he's likely to play only the big suited cards. One way to sharpen how well we estimate these things is to use PokerStove to get a feeling for different situations.
In terms of hand analysis, especially in a poker forum like CardsChat, being able to reduce a certain problem to just a matter of what we think our opponent's range is, is invaluable.
Advice is often given by people who guess what the villain in the hand has, and then guesses what our chances of winning are, and then guesses what the best course of action is.
Since the margin of error grows exponentially with every new operation that has an innate error, doing three operations with large margins of error means that the end result probably isn't reliable.
Being able to reduce and almost completely remove the margin of error for some of these operations is awesome. No more guessing.
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